AZE.US
The next three to five days may prove decisive for the future trajectory of the conflict surrounding Iran, according to Azerbaijani political analyst Farhad Mammadov.
Speaking in an interview with the Daily Europe Online platform, Mammadov said it is still too early to determine whether the United States and Israel miscalculated in their assessment of the situation. The confrontation has only recently begun, and the dynamics of the conflict remain uncertain.
According to him, the potential exists for the conflict to expand if additional actors become involved. Countries with military infrastructure in the broader region – including several NATO members – could play a role depending on how the situation evolves.
Mammadov noted that one of the key factors will be whether Iran expands its attacks beyond military facilities linked to the United States and begins targeting economic infrastructure or other strategic assets in neighboring states.
Strategic Objectives
The analyst said Washington and Israel appear to share three main strategic objectives regarding Iran:
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stopping Iran’s nuclear program;
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limiting the country’s missile capabilities;
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ending Tehran’s support for proxy forces in the region.
However, he cautioned that fully achieving these goals could prove extremely difficult.
Internal Dynamics in Iran
Mammadov also emphasized the importance of Iran’s internal political situation. He said the country may face a period of significant uncertainty if competing political and military groups begin acting independently.
In such a scenario, the absence of a strong coordinating center could complicate decision-making and further destabilize the situation.
Regional Position
Commenting on the stance of countries in the South Caucasus and Central Asia, Mammadov said most governments have adopted a cautious approach and are closely monitoring developments without becoming directly involved.
He stressed that Azerbaijan has maintained a neutral position, ensuring that its territory and airspace are not used for operations against Iran.
At the same time, he did not rule out that Azerbaijan could potentially play a diplomatic role in the future if additional communication channels between the sides become necessary.
Critical Period Ahead
According to the analyst, the coming days will be critical for understanding whether the conflict escalates further or begins moving toward diplomatic engagement.
“The next three to five days will largely determine the trajectory of events in the coming weeks,” Mammadov said.