AZE.US
The military campaign against Iran has not made Israel safer and has instead deepened the region’s instability, political analyst Rizvan Guseynov said in comments on the Daily Europe Online channel. He argued that the confrontation has sharpened, rather than reduced, the security risks facing Israel and pushed the Middle East into a more dangerous phase.
According to Guseynov, none of the likely scenarios emerging from the current conflict appears positive for Israel. In his view, the operation has only made the country’s security problem more acute, while the broader region is being drawn into a deeper and more unpredictable crisis. He said the United States and Israel had effectively “let the genie out of the bottle,” triggering consequences that may be far harder to contain than to start.
He also argued that the war is being shaped not only by strategic calculations, but increasingly by ideology and religion. Guseynov said the rhetoric surrounding the conflict has taken on a religious tone, making the confrontation even more combustible because it is no longer framed solely around deterrence or national defense.
Guseynov was particularly skeptical of attempts to weaken Iran through strikes on senior figures, saying such a strategy does not change the core balance. In his assessment, Iran has the institutional depth, resources and internal resilience to replace key figures and absorb pressure in ways smaller regional actors cannot. That, he suggested, makes escalation more likely to radicalize the conflict than to resolve it.
He also touched on the position of countries bordering Iran, saying Azerbaijan has taken a firm but restrained stance and has shown no intention of siding with any party in the conflict. At the same time, he said Baku has insisted on protecting its own security interests while maintaining a broader policy of neutrality.
For Guseynov, the larger conclusion is that the war around Iran is not producing greater security for Israel, but the opposite: a more volatile environment, a more radicalized region and a crisis with no clearly positive endgame in sight.