Russia Has Already Lost – And the Post-Soviet Space Knows It

AZE.US Wars do not always end with surrender. Sometimes they freeze. Sometimes they fade into negotiations that look like compromise. But there is another outcome – one in which a country continues fighting, holds territory, maintains the rhetoric of strength, and still loses strategically. That is the position Russia faces today. Even if Moscow secures … Read more

Starlink in Armenia Signals a New Phase in the South Caucasus

AZE.US The reported delivery of more than 100 Starlink terminals to Armenia may appear, at first glance, to be a technical or humanitarian step aimed at improving connectivity. In reality, the move carries broader geopolitical meaning. In a region where infrastructure, security, and influence are tightly intertwined, digital access is never just about the internet. … Read more

Armenia Debates Balancing Russia Ties With Expanding Western Cooperation

AZE.US Public and political debate in Armenia has intensified over the country’s foreign policy direction, including how to balance longstanding ties with Russia against expanding cooperation with Western partners in energy, technology and infrastructure. Discussions have been fueled by proposed projects that supporters say could accelerate technological modernization, reduce external energy dependence and create new … Read more

French Espionage Suspects Go On Trial in Baku

AZE.US A court in Azerbaijan’s capital has continued hearings in the criminal case against two men accused of espionage and treason linked to France, according to court proceedings and state investigators. The case involves Martin Ryan, who faces espionage charges, and Azerbaijani citizen Azad Mammadli, who is charged with high treason. The hearing took place … Read more

Azerbaijan Risks Internal and External Tensions, Mammadov Warns

AZE.US Azerbaijani opposition politician and public figure Ilgar Mammadov has warned of declining public confidence in government institutions and growing political disengagement, arguing that expectations of greater freedom and rule of law after the war have largely gone unmet. In comments posted on his Telegram channel, Mammadov said broad segments of society have lost interest … Read more

U.S. Military Support to Armenia and Azerbaijan Raises Questions Over Regional Balance

AZE.US Recent U.S. security engagement with both Armenia and Azerbaijan has renewed debate over the military and strategic balance in the South Caucasus. Washington’s reported plan to provide Armenia with V-BAT reconnaissance drones, while offering Azerbaijan patrol vessels focused on Caspian maritime security, highlights differing operational impacts despite a formally balanced approach. Analysts say the … Read more

Putin Underestimated Zelensky: A Key Strategic Miscalculation, Analyst Says

Aze.US Russia’s full-scale war in Ukraine exposed a major strategic miscalculation by Moscow, which did not anticipate the scale of Ukrainian resistance or the political resilience of President Volodymyr Zelensky, Azerbaijani political analyst Chingiz Mammadov said in an interview with Musavat TV. The war in Ukraine has significantly reshaped the global balance of power while … Read more

After Munich, One Thing Became Clear: Europe Will Have To Defend Itself

Aze.US The latest Munich Security Conference underscored a turning point for Europe: the post-World War II security model built around U.S. guarantees is weakening, forcing European states-led by Germany-to reconsider their own military responsibility and strategic autonomy. For decades, Europe’s stability rested on a simple assumption: the United States would remain the ultimate security guarantor … Read more

“Not To Allow Another War”: Mammadov On The Meaning Of The Peace Agenda

Aze.US Azerbaijani political analyst Farhad Mammadov said the current stage of dialogue between Azerbaijan and Armenia is primarily aimed at preventing a renewed conflict, stressing that the durability of the peace process will depend on political developments in Armenia and the formalization of a peace agreement. Farhad Mammadov took part in a recent meeting of … Read more

Armenia’s Strategic Shift Raises Risks as Yerevan Moves to Reduce Reliance on Russia

Aze.US Armenia’s deepening engagement with the United States is evolving from diplomatic outreach into a potential strategic realignment, a shift that could reshape power dynamics in the South Caucasus while exposing Yerevan to significant political and economic risks. During the recent visit of the U.S. vice president to Yerevan, the sides discussed large-scale cooperation in … Read more