When Empathy Fades: A Quiet Social Shift in Azerbaijan

AZE.USA Across much of the world, people are speaking more about loneliness, digital isolation, and the slow erosion of everyday empathy. Azerbaijan is not immune to this shift. In some ways, it reveals the change with unusual clarity. Conversations inside families are becoming shorter. Friendships increasingly exist through screens. And in moments of public distress, … Read more

Geneva on Two Fronts: Dialogue With Iran and a Conversation About War

AZE.US Geneva has once again become a diplomatic crossroads. Within the same city and nearly the same hours, two separate переговорных трека unfolded: one focused on Russia’s war against Ukraine, the other on the future of U.S.–Iran relations. Formally, these are distinct crises. Strategically, they reflect the same global reality – a period defined less … Read more

Peace Between Baku and Yerevan May Come Faster Than Reconciliation Between People

AZE.US Diplomatic momentum between Azerbaijan and Armenia is steadily increasing. Negotiations continue, technical issues are discussed, and the outline of a possible peace agreement appears closer than at any time in recent decades. Yet beneath the political process lies a far more complicated reality: governments can sign documents faster than societies can reconcile. Recent expert-level … Read more

Russia Has Already Lost – And the Post-Soviet Space Knows It

AZE.US Wars do not always end with surrender. Sometimes they freeze. Sometimes they fade into negotiations that look like compromise. But there is another outcome – one in which a country continues fighting, holds territory, maintains the rhetoric of strength, and still loses strategically. That is the position Russia faces today. Even if Moscow secures … Read more

Starlink in Armenia Signals a New Phase in the South Caucasus

AZE.US The reported delivery of more than 100 Starlink terminals to Armenia may appear, at first glance, to be a technical or humanitarian step aimed at improving connectivity. In reality, the move carries broader geopolitical meaning. In a region where infrastructure, security, and influence are tightly intertwined, digital access is never just about the internet. … Read more

U.S. Military Support to Armenia and Azerbaijan Raises Questions Over Regional Balance

AZE.US Recent U.S. security engagement with both Armenia and Azerbaijan has renewed debate over the military and strategic balance in the South Caucasus. Washington’s reported plan to provide Armenia with V-BAT reconnaissance drones, while offering Azerbaijan patrol vessels focused on Caspian maritime security, highlights differing operational impacts despite a formally balanced approach. Analysts say the … Read more

After Munich, One Thing Became Clear: Europe Will Have To Defend Itself

Aze.US The latest Munich Security Conference underscored a turning point for Europe: the post-World War II security model built around U.S. guarantees is weakening, forcing European states-led by Germany-to reconsider their own military responsibility and strategic autonomy. For decades, Europe’s stability rested on a simple assumption: the United States would remain the ultimate security guarantor … Read more

Armenia’s Strategic Shift Raises Risks as Yerevan Moves to Reduce Reliance on Russia

Aze.US Armenia’s deepening engagement with the United States is evolving from diplomatic outreach into a potential strategic realignment, a shift that could reshape power dynamics in the South Caucasus while exposing Yerevan to significant political and economic risks. During the recent visit of the U.S. vice president to Yerevan, the sides discussed large-scale cooperation in … Read more

After Munich, No Real Normalization Seen Between Russia and Azerbaijan

Aze.US Tensions between Moscow and Baku remain unresolved despite recent diplomatic contacts, Ukrainian political analyst Vitaliy Portnikov said, pointing to continued disputes linked to the war in Ukraine and attacks affecting Azerbaijani interests. Speaking after the Munich Security Conference, Portnikov noted that Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev publicly rejected the idea that repeated shelling incidents targeting … Read more

Russia Is Losing the South Caucasus

Aze.US Recent diplomatic activity surrounding Azerbaijan and Armenia suggests a structural shift in the balance of power in the South Caucasus, a region long shaped by Russian influence. The United States has moved to deepen engagement with both countries, announcing a strategic partnership with Azerbaijan that includes cooperation in security, energy, technology and the protection … Read more