Analysis

Escalation Around Iran Could Reshape The Balance Of Power In The Middle East

AZE.US The current escalation around Iran may be part of a longer geopolitical transformation of the Middle East, according to Azerbaijani political analyst Ilgar Velizade,...

ISIS-K Resurfaces: Security Concerns Grow Across The Region

AZE.US The reappearance of ISIS-K, also known as “Wilayat Khorasan,” amid tensions between Pakistan and the Taliban is raising new security concerns across the wider...

Future Of Iran Depends On Choice Of New Supreme Leader

AZE.US The future political trajectory of Iran will largely depend on who becomes the country’s next supreme leader, analysts said during a televised discussion...

U.S. Embassy In Yerevan: Could It Become A Target For Iran?

AZE.US A brief question posted on Facebook by former Azerbaijani Foreign Minister Tofig Zulfugarov has triggered an active debate about regional security and the role...

Four Scenarios For Iran And Risks For The South Caucasus

AZE.US The military operation launched by the United States and Israel against Iran has triggered not only security concerns in the Persian Gulf, but also...

Iran’s Knot: Regional Tensions With Global Consequences

By Leyla Mammadli for Aze.US The Middle East is once again sliding toward a dangerous inflection point. Rising military and political tensions around Iran are no longer confined...

IRGC and the Clerical Elite: Who Will Hold Iran Together After Khamenei?

AZE.US The death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has triggered the most consequential leadership transition in Iran since 1989. But the central question is not...

Will Iran’s Crisis Strengthen or Weaken Russia?

AZE.US The current conflict sparked by U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran - including the reported killing of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei - isn’t just...

Death of Khamenei: Why Iran’s Crisis Reaches the South Caucasus

AZE.US The reported killing of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in joint U.S.–Israeli strikes marks a historic rupture at the top of the Islamic Republic....

Region on the Brink: What the Iranian Crisis Means for the South Caucasus

AZE.US The rapidly escalating crisis in Iran is no longer confined to the Persian Gulf. For the South Caucasus - a region historically shaped by...

Who Will Take Control Of Iran Amid Crisis?

AZE.US Iran has entered one of the most uncertain phases in its modern political history. With the country facing external military pressure and an internal...

Can Iran Strike Targets In Azerbaijan? Military Capability Versus Strategic Reality

AZE.US As tensions across the Middle East escalate, one question quietly circulates in regional security discussions: could Iran strike targets inside Azerbaijan? The short answer is...

Iran Between Survival And Structural Change

AZE.US Iran is entering what may become the most consequential phase of its modern political history. The current escalation is not simply about military strikes...

War Around Iran: Balance of Power Over Principles

AZE.US The latest escalation involving Iran has reignited a familiar debate in international politics: is the world governed by principles - or by power? The U.S.-Israel...

Armenia Between Moscow And The West: A Choice That Could Reshape The South Caucasus

AZE.US Armenia is entering a politically sensitive period in which its strategic direction may carry consequences beyond its domestic landscape. The country’s evolving relationship with...

Regional Escalation And A New Strategic Reality: What Changes For The South Caucasus

By Leyla Mammadli for Aze.US The latest U.S. military strike against Iran is not merely another episode in Washington–Tehran confrontation. It signals a structural shift in regional security...

Could Iran Become a Strategic Quagmire for Trump?

AZE.US President Donald Trump has sharpened his rhetoric on Iran, warning that continued uranium enrichment and regional military activity could trigger decisive U.S. action. But...

Peace Between Baku and Yerevan as a Strategic Challenge for Moscow

AZE.US The prospect of a formal peace agreement between Azerbaijan and Armenia is increasingly viewed by regional analysts as a turning point that could reshape...

Russia Facing Post-Imperial Adjustment in the South Caucasus – Shafiyev

AZE.US Russia is undergoing a post-imperial adjustment in the South Caucasus as traditional leverage mechanisms lose effectiveness, Azerbaijani political analyst Farid Shafiyev said, arguing that...

Azerbaijan and Regional Security Risks: Uzeyir Jafarov Warns Against Strategic Complacency

AZE.US Azerbaijani military analyst Uzeyir Jafarov has cautioned that despite visible diplomatic activity in the South Caucasus, Azerbaijan must avoid strategic complacency amid shifting alliances...

U.S. Presses Iran for Full Nuclear Rollback as Geneva Talks Continue

AZE.US The United States and Iran held another round of indirect talks in Geneva on Wednesday amid widening differences over Tehran’s nuclear program and sanctions...

Why Azerbaijan’s Science Is Not Getting Younger

AZE.US Azerbaijan speaks the language of innovation. Officials reference digital transformation, artificial intelligence, start-ups, and smart governance. Yet inside many research institutes, a different reality...

Is Russia on the Brink of a Systemic Crisis? Will Summer Mark a Turning Point?

AZE.US Four years into the war in Ukraine, the question is no longer whether the conflict has reshaped Europe’s security architecture - it has. The...

Alliance on paper or a new distance: Baku and Moscow four years later

AZE.US Four years after Azerbaijan and Russia signed their declaration on allied cooperation, questions are growing about what that document now means in practice. While...

War In Europe And The Reconfiguration Of The South Caucasus

AZE.US Feb. 24 marks the fourth anniversary of the war that reshaped not only Ukraine and Russia, but the entire architecture of European security. What...

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