Could Iran Become a Strategic Quagmire for Trump?

AZE.US President Donald Trump has sharpened his rhetoric on Iran, warning that continued uranium enrichment and regional military activity could trigger decisive U.S. action. But as tensions rise, a critical question emerges: could Iran evolve into a strategic quagmire for the White House? Escalation Without a Clear Endgame Publicly, Washington’s demands remain firm: Iran must … Read more

Peace Between Baku and Yerevan as a Strategic Challenge for Moscow

AZE.US The prospect of a formal peace agreement between Azerbaijan and Armenia is increasingly viewed by regional analysts as a turning point that could reshape the geopolitical balance in the South Caucasus – and significantly reduce Russia’s traditional leverage in the region. For decades, Moscow’s influence was closely tied to its role in managing – … Read more

Russia Facing Post-Imperial Adjustment in the South Caucasus – Shafiyev

AZE.US Russia is undergoing a post-imperial adjustment in the South Caucasus as traditional leverage mechanisms lose effectiveness, Azerbaijani political analyst Farid Shafiyev said, arguing that Moscow’s long-standing conflict-management model is eroding in the new regional environment. Speaking during a televised discussion, Shafiyev stated that for decades Russia relied on a combination of security dependency, political … Read more

Azerbaijan and Regional Security Risks: Uzeyir Jafarov Warns Against Strategic Complacency

AZE.US Azerbaijani military analyst Uzeyir Jafarov has cautioned that despite visible diplomatic activity in the South Caucasus, Azerbaijan must avoid strategic complacency amid shifting alliances and uncertain external guarantees. Jafarov’s comments come as Baku continues its normalization process with Armenia. According to local reporting, approximately 4,500 tons of diesel fuel are expected to be transported … Read more

U.S. Presses Iran for Full Nuclear Rollback as Geneva Talks Continue

AZE.US The United States and Iran held another round of indirect talks in Geneva on Wednesday amid widening differences over Tehran’s nuclear program and sanctions relief. According to reporting by The Wall Street Journal, the U.S. negotiating position includes dismantling Iran’s three key nuclear facilities – Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan – transferring enriched uranium stockpiles … Read more

Why Azerbaijan’s Science Is Not Getting Younger

AZE.US Azerbaijan speaks the language of innovation. Officials reference digital transformation, artificial intelligence, start-ups, and smart governance. Yet inside many research institutes, a different reality prevails. Young researchers are scarce. Laboratories feel frozen in time. The academic system itself is aging. This is not simply a demographic issue. It is a strategic risk. A Closed … Read more

Alliance on paper or a new distance: Baku and Moscow four years later

AZE.US Four years after Azerbaijan and Russia signed their declaration on allied cooperation, questions are growing about what that document now means in practice. While the text remains in force, the political atmosphere between Baku and Moscow has shifted markedly, shaped by the war in Ukraine, regional realignments and a series of bilateral tensions. The … Read more

War In Europe And The Reconfiguration Of The South Caucasus

AZE.US Feb. 24 marks the fourth anniversary of the war that reshaped not only Ukraine and Russia, but the entire architecture of European security. What felt like a geopolitical shock in 2022 has become a prolonged reality in 2026. Four years is long enough for governments to change, forecasts to collapse and initial emotional reactions … Read more

Market Test for Peace: Are Azerbaijanis Ready for Trade With Armenia?

AZE.US As diplomatic contacts between Baku and Yerevan continue and talk of a formal peace agreement resurfaces, a more practical question is emerging: are the societies themselves ready for economic normalization? Recent street interviews in Baku suggest the answer is complicated. When asked whether they would buy or sell Armenian-made products, market vendors and customers … Read more