Aze.US
Azerbaijani journalist Azer Hasrat said Russia could face fragmentation and the emergence of new independent states as a result of ongoing geopolitical pressures, according to remarks made on Musavat TV.
Hasrat argued that perceptions of Russia’s strength have shifted following recent military conflicts, adding that the scenario Moscow implemented in Georgia in 2008 proved difficult to replicate in Ukraine, which he described as demonstrating the limits of Russian capabilities.
He suggested that, over time, self-determination movements could intensify across various national republics and regions, ranging from the North Caucasus to the Volga region and Siberia. He also linked potential political change to the growing involvement of major external powers in the broader region.
Turning to the South Caucasus, Hasrat said future developments would depend largely on the balance of influence among regional actors, particularly Turkey and Azerbaijan. He added that Armenia is unlikely to repeat Georgia’s confrontation scenario given its geographic and political constraints.
The comments reflect Hasrat’s personal assessment and remain part of a wider debate among regional analysts regarding Russia’s long-term stability and the evolving geopolitical order.