AZE.US
The future political trajectory of Iran will largely depend on who becomes the country’s next supreme leader, analysts said during a televised discussion on the ongoing conflict involving Iran and Israel.
Experts noted that the confrontation has already entered a dangerous phase, with both sides exchanging strikes on strategic targets. Military facilities and nuclear-related sites in Iran have reportedly been hit, while Tehran has responded with missile and drone attacks against Israeli targets and allied interests in the region.
According to analysts, the current stage of the conflict is focused on testing each side’s endurance – both militarily and politically. The United States and Israel are seeking to weaken Iran’s military infrastructure, particularly its missile systems and launch capabilities. At the same time, Tehran appears to be attempting to widen the conflict by increasing pressure on U.S. allies across the Middle East.
Special attention is being paid to the internal situation in Iran following the death of the country’s supreme leader. The process of selecting a new religious and political authority could significantly influence both domestic stability and Iran’s foreign policy direction.
Several potential figures from different political camps – including conservative clerical circles and more pragmatic political actors – are reportedly being discussed as possible successors.
Analysts warn that prolonged uncertainty in the leadership transition could trigger internal political tensions. However, they also note that Iran’s powerful institutions, including the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), may play a decisive role in maintaining stability during the transition period.
At the regional level, the weakening of Iran could alter the balance of power in the Middle East. Some experts believe that countries such as Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Israel could gain greater influence if Tehran’s position significantly deteriorates.
Observers stress that the coming weeks will be critical in determining whether the conflict escalates further or shifts toward diplomatic negotiations.